We had a Liverpool win as the most likely outcome.
✓ Liverpool 46%✗ Most likely score 0-1
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Liverpool won 1-3.
Story
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool: the story of the match
40' — Liverpool took the lead: 0-1. Alexis Mac Allister scored it. Half time: 0-1.
54' — Liverpool extended the lead: 0-2. Florian Wirtz scored it. 89' — Liverpool extended the lead: 0-3. Alexander Isak scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Crystal Palace pulled one back: 1-3. It came in the closing minutes. Liverpool won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Crystal PalaceDrawLiverpool
Pre-match model estimate: Crystal Palace 29%, draw 25%, Liverpool 46%.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Crystal Palace win in 29% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Liverpool win 46%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 54%. About 10.3 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 21%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Liverpool got the better of Crystal Palace, winning 3-1 at Selhurst Park. It was 0-1 at half-time. The top ScoreMondo rating of the match went to Liverpool's Dominik Szoboszlai: 8.9.
The story of the match
The officials disallowed a Crystal Palace goal on 35 minutes. Liverpool took the lead in the 40th minute through Alexis Mac Allister, set up by Dominik Szoboszlai. It was Crystal Palace 0-1 Liverpool at half-time.
Liverpool extended their lead to 2-0 on 54 minutes thanks to Florian Wirtz, set up by Bradley Barcola. Late on, in the 89th minute, Liverpool extended their lead to 3-0 through Alexander Isak, set up by Florian Wirtz. Crystal Palace pulled one back to make it 1-3 on 90 minutes.
The statistics
On target it was 7-8, from 14 and 12 attempts respectively. Corners finished 4-7. The referee showed 6 yellow cards, 2 to Crystal Palace and 4 to Liverpool.
What it means
Crystal Palace slip to 20th (7 points), having started the day 18th. Liverpool climb from 5th to 4th on 18 points. A 3-game wait for victory is over for Liverpool.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
