Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Spain beat Croatia 2-1 in UEFA Nations League.
In our records Croatia and Spain have met 6 times: Croatia won 2, 0 ended level and Spain won 4.
Their latest meeting (): Spain 4-1 Croatia.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Spain won 1-2.
Story
Croatia vs Spain: the story of the match
17' — Croatia took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
61' — Spain equalised: 1-1. 79' — Croatia had a player sent off. 88' — Spain completed the turnaround: 1-2. It came in the closing minutes. Spain won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CroatiaDrawSpain
Pre-match model estimate: Croatia 14%, draw 18%, Spain 68%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Spain recovered from going behind and won 2-1 against Croatia.
The story of the match
Croatia took the lead on 17 minutes. Half-time: 1-0, Croatia in front.
Spain drew level at 1-1 on 61 minutes. Croatia were a man down from the 79th minute. Late on, in the 88th minute, Spain completed the turnaround at 2-1.
Match statistics
Croatia had 7 shots (5 on target) to Spain's 5 (3). Corners finished 3-6. Dangerous attacks: 40 for Spain, 16 for Croatia.
What it means
Croatia have lost 4 in a row. That is 11 straight wins for Spain.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
