CD Toledo 1-0 CD Marchamalo live score – Tercera Federación – Group 18
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CD Toledo and CD Marchamalo are playing now in Tercera Federación – Group 18; the score is 1-0.
In our records CD Toledo and CD Marchamalo have met 4 times: CD Toledo won 4, 0 ended level and CD Marchamalo won 0.
Their latest meeting (): CD Marchamalo 0-2 CD Toledo.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards. Match in progress — new decisions appear here.
Live analysis
Live ·
Last update:
- Scoreyes
- Statisticsyes
- Line-upsno
- Pitch animationyes
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Live data; the result is verified after full time.
The model gives CD Toledo a 81% chance of winning right now.
Why it matters: Fresh goal
Chances to win
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: CD Toledo 76%, draw 16%, CD Marchamalo 8%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Story
CD Toledo vs CD Marchamalo: so far
Our model right now: CD Toledo 81%, draw 14%, CD Marchamalo 5%.
Previous meetings and form
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsWhat the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Toledo win in 76% of the simulated matches, 16% end level and CD Marchamalo win 8%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 2-0 (14%); both teams score in 42%. About 9.1 corners on average. About 5.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
