One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
PFC Ludogorets Razgrad IIKick-off0-0PFC Nesebar
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II win in 54% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and PFC Nesebar win 23%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-0 (11%); both teams score in 53%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 4.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
Head to head
3PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II1Draws3PFC Nesebar
Goals: 14 - 12 · last 7 meetings
Second LeaguePFC Ludogorets Razgrad II2 - 0PFC Nesebar
Second LeaguePFC Nesebar2 - 2PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II
Second LeaguePFC Ludogorets Razgrad II4 - 1PFC Nesebar
Second LeaguePFC Nesebar4 - 2PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II
Second LeaguePFC Ludogorets Razgrad II0 - 2PFC Nesebar
Second LeaguePFC Nesebar3 - 1PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II
Second LeaguePFC Ludogorets Razgrad II3 - 0PFC Nesebar
PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II beat PFC Nesebar2-0 without conceding at PFC Ludogorets 1945 Training Centre. The half-time score was 1-0. Sunday 8 November, PFC Ludogorets 1945 Training Centre (Razgrad): PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II against PFC Nesebar on matchday 15, kick-off 14:34.
The story of the match
PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II took the lead on 6 minutes. PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II led 1-0 at the break.
PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II extended their lead to 2-0 on 80 minutes.
What the numbers say
On target it was 3-1, from 7 and 5 attempts respectively. PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II won 8 corners, PFC Nesebar 5. Cards: 3-2 in yellows. Fouls: 20 by PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II, 26 by PFC Nesebar; offsides 4-3.
Before the match
The table had PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II 12th (19 points) and PFC Nesebar 13th (18 points) going into the game. Before kick-off, PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II's last 5 matches had brought 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II drew 1-1 with FC Sportist Svoge last time out. PFC Nesebar came into the match with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 matches — 4 without a win. Chernomorets Burgas beat PFC Nesebar 2-1 last time out. In 7 previous meetings, PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II have won 3, PFC Nesebar 3, and 1 has been drawn. When they last met, on 2 April 2025, PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II won 2-0. There have been 26 goals in the 7 meetings, 3.7 a game.
What it means
The result lifts PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II to 8th with 22 points, up from 12th. PFC Nesebar stay 13th on 18 points. PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II extend their unbeaten run to 5 matches. It is now 4 straight defeats for PFC Nesebar.
Second League
