Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished ·
Last update:
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: CD Coria won 0-2.
Story
CD Mirandes vs CD Coria: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 31' — CD Mirandes missed a penalty. 41' — CD Coria took the lead: 0-1. A. Lopez-Vadillo scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 0-1.
87' — CD Coria extended the lead: 0-2. It came in the closing minutes. After 46' the momentum swung to CD Mirandes. CD Coria won 0-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD MirandesDrawCD Coria
Pre-match model estimate: CD Mirandes 61%, draw 23%, CD Coria 16%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
CD MirandesCD Coria
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min8580
Last 15 min5368
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Mirandes win in 61% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and CD Coria win 16%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 45%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 5.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Coria beat CD Mirandes2-0 without conceding at Estadio Municipal de Anduva. It was 0-1 at half-time.
The story of the match
CD Mirandes missed a penalty in the 31st minute. A. Lopez-Vadillo opened the scoring for CD Coria after 41 minutes. It was CD Mirandes 0-1 CD Coria at half-time.
From the 46th minute the pressure shifted towards CD Mirandes. CD Coria extended their lead to 2-0 on 87 minutes.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 9-7, 5-4 on target. Corners finished 9-2. Dangerous attacks: 179 for CD Mirandes, 69 for CD Coria.
What it means
CD Mirandes' 3-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera Federacion, Group 2
