Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsno
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: CE Europa won 3-2.
Story
CE Europa vs Atletico Madrid B: the story of the match
Half time: 0-2.
CE Europa won 3-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CE EuropaDrawAtletico Madrid B
Pre-match model estimate: CE Europa 40%, draw 25%, Atletico Madrid B 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CE Europa win in 40% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Atletico Madrid B win 35%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 57%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 4.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 25%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Primera Federacion
