One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Real Madrid CastillaKick-off0-0Hercules CF
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Real Madrid Castilla win in 50% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Hercules CF win 25%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (12%); both teams score in 50%. About 9.6 corners on average. About 5.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 25%.
Previous meetings and form
Head to head
6Real Madrid Castilla2Draws2Hercules CF
Goals: 19 - 9 · last 10 meetings
Primera FederacionHercules CF1 - 1Real Madrid Castilla
Primera FederacionReal Madrid Castilla1 - 0Hercules CF
Segunda DivisionReal Madrid Castilla4 - 0Hercules CF
Segunda DivisionHercules CF2 - 1Real Madrid Castilla
Segunda DivisionReal Madrid Castilla1 - 1Hercules CF
Segunda DivisionHercules CF2 - 4Real Madrid Castilla
Segunda DivisionHercules CF0 - 3Real Madrid Castilla
Segunda DivisionReal Madrid Castilla0 - 3Hercules CF
Segunda DivisionHercules CF0 - 1Real Madrid Castilla
Segunda DivisionReal Madrid Castilla3 - 0Hercules CF
Goals scored per match: 1.1Goals conceded per match: 1.1
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 2-2.
Story
Real Madrid Castilla vs Hercules CF: the story of the match
7' — Hercules CF took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
59' — Real Madrid Castilla equalised: 1-1. 86' — Hercules CF went back in front: 1-2. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Real Madrid Castilla equalised: 2-2. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Real Madrid CastillaDrawHercules CF
Pre-match model estimate: Real Madrid Castilla 50%, draw 25%, Hercules CF 25%.
Neither Real Madrid Castilla nor Hercules CF could find a winner in a 2-2 draw. The half-time score was 0-1. Sunday 8 November: Real Madrid Castilla against Hercules CF on matchday 11, kick-off 15:00.
Key moments
Hercules CF took the lead on 7 minutes. VAR checked and confirmed the Hercules CF goal on 8 minutes. Hercules CF led 1-0 at the break.
Real Madrid Castilla drew level at 1-1 on 59 minutes. Late on, in the 86th minute, Hercules CF went 2-1 up. Just 4 minutes later (90') Real Madrid Castilla drew level at 2-2.
Match statistics
Real Madrid Castilla won 4 corners, Hercules CF 5. The referee showed 4 yellow cards, 1 to Real Madrid Castilla and 3 to Hercules CF. Real Madrid Castilla produced 238 dangerous attacks to Hercules CF's 91. Fouls: 14 by Real Madrid Castilla, 11 by Hercules CF; offsides 1-0.
How they came into it
Before kick-off, Real Madrid Castilla's last 5 matches had brought 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Last time out, Real Madrid Castilla beat FC Cartagena 2-0 at home. Hercules CF came into the match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches. Their most recent game was a 2-0 win over CF Rayo Majadahonda for Hercules CF. When they last met, on 14 March 2025, it ended 1-1. There have been 28 goals in the 10 meetings, 2.8 a game. Referee I. de Santisteban Adame showed 4 yellow cards.
What the result means
Across 11 meetings in our records: 6 wins for Real Madrid Castilla, 2 wins for Hercules CF and 3 draws.
Primera Federacion, Group 2
