One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
CD IncaKick-off0-0AD Isidro Metapan
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Inca win in 19% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and AD Isidro Metapan win 57%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 0-1 (14%); both teams score in 46%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 4.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
CD Inca and AD Isidro Metapan shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Primera Division, Apertura. It was 0-1 at half-time. The match was played on Saturday, 7 November 2026 at Estadio Anna Mercedes Campos in Sonsonate (matchday 19).
The story of the match
After a review on 2 minutes, AD Isidro Metapan were given a penalty. AD Isidro Metapan took the lead on 16 minutes. Half-time: 0-1, AD Isidro Metapan in front.
AD Isidro Metapan had a player sent off on 47 minutes. CD Inca had a player sent off on 51 minutes. CD Inca drew level at 1-1 on 63 minutes.
What the numbers say
CD Inca led on expected goals, 0.64 to 0.43. Corners finished 7-6. Cards: 2-2 in yellows, plus 2 red cards. CD Inca committed 17 fouls to AD Isidro Metapan's 26, and the offside count read 6-2.
How they came into it
Before kick-off CD Inca were 11th on 16 points and AD Isidro Metapan 3rd on 31 points. CD Inca came into the match with 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 matches — 5 without a win. CD Cacahuatique beat CD Inca 1-0 last time out. Before kick-off, AD Isidro Metapan's last 5 matches had brought 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. AD Isidro Metapan drew 1-1 with CD Municipal Limeno last time out.
What it means
4 defeats in a row come to an end for CD Inca. The wait for a win goes on for AD Isidro Metapan: 4 matches now.
What’s next
Next up for CD Inca: away at Atletico Balboa on Thursday 12 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.