Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Alianza FC El Salvador won 1-0.
Story
Alianza FC El Salvador vs AD Isidro Metapan: the story of the match
44' — Alianza FC El Salvador took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
Alianza FC El Salvador won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Alianza FC El SalvadorDrawAD Isidro Metapan
Pre-match model estimate: Alianza FC El Salvador 36%, draw 28%, AD Isidro Metapan 36%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Alianza FC El Salvador win in 36% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and AD Isidro Metapan win 36%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 50%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Alianza FC El Salvador – AD Isidro Metapan match report
Alianza FC El Salvador took the lead on 44 minutes. It was Alianza FC El Salvador 1-0 AD Isidro Metapan at half-time.
AD Isidro Metapan had a goal ruled out in the 97th minute.
Match statistics
On target it was 2-2, from 4 and 3 attempts respectively. Alianza FC El Salvador won 4 corners, AD Isidro Metapan 4. AD Isidro Metapan produced 184 dangerous attacks to Alianza FC El Salvador's 151.
What it means
Alianza FC El Salvador stay 7th on 23 points. AD Isidro Metapan remain 3rd, now with 30 points. Alianza FC El Salvador end a run of 5 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
