Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Inter Santa Tecla won 0-2.
Story
CD Inca vs Inter Santa Tecla: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
66' — Inter Santa Tecla took the lead: 0-1. 90' — Inter Santa Tecla extended the lead: 0-2. It came in the closing minutes. Inter Santa Tecla won 0-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD IncaDrawInter Santa Tecla
Pre-match model estimate: CD Inca 14%, draw 20%, Inter Santa Tecla 66%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Inca win in 14% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Inter Santa Tecla win 66%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 0-2 (12%); both teams score in 48%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Inter Santa Tecla beat CD Inca2-0 without conceding at Estadio Anna Mercedes Campos. The half-time score was 0-0.
How the match unfolded
The first half ended 0-0.
Inter Santa Tecla took the lead on 66 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, Inter Santa Tecla extended their lead to 2-0.
Match statistics
The shot count read 2-7, 0-6 on target. CD Inca won 5 corners, Inter Santa Tecla 5. 6 saves came from the CD Inca goalkeeper. Inter Santa Tecla produced 174 dangerous attacks to CD Inca's 126.
What it means
CD Inca have now gone 4 matches without a win. Inter Santa Tecla end a run of 7 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera Division, Apertura
