Burton Albion vs Luton Town (League One) kick-off time: 21 Nov 2026
England
League One Round 16
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 1-2 (10%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Last 5 · Recent meetings
More- Burton AlbionLLWLW
- Luton TownWDWWWScored in 10 matches in a row
- League OneLuton Town1 - 1Burton Albion
- League OneBurton Albion0 - 3Luton Town
- League OneBurton Albion2 - 1Luton Town
- Per match
- Corners won5.3·5.6
- Yellow cards1.6·1.3
League One
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oxford United | 13 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town | 14 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday | 14 | +11 | 23 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | +4 | 16 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Burton Albion and Luton Town meet on in League One.
Venue: Pirelli Stadium.
In our records Burton Albion and Luton Town have met 6 times: Burton Albion won 3, 1 ended level and Luton Town won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Luton Town 1-1 Burton Albion.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Burton Albion 1.1 – 2.0 Luton Town. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Both teams score in 56% of the simulated matches. About 11.5 corners on average. About 3.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 14%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- Luton Town: the stronger side on our resultsLTstrong
- Burton Albion: home advantage in this competitionBAstrong
Also considered
- Luton Town: last match 4 days ago (short rest)
- Burton Albion: 3 matches in the last 14 days (busy schedule)
In our past matches these circumstances did not measurably improve the prediction, so they do not change the percentages.
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Luton Town.
Preview
Burton Albion vs Luton Town: preview
Burton Albion have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. 6 of Burton Albion's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4. Luton Town have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. Luton Town have scored in 10 matches in a row. 6 of Luton Town's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.
In their last 6 meetings, Burton Albion won 3, 1 ended level and Luton Town won 2. Burton Albion are in position 15 with 17 points, Luton Town in position 4 with 24 points. A win could lift Burton Albion as high as position 11. A win could lift Luton Town as high as position 3.
Table by result
- A win lifts them to 11.
- A win lifts them to 3.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
