This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Brisbane Roar win in 41% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Perth Glory win 35%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 60%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Brisbane Roar took the lead in the 28th minute: Justin Vidic, set up by Tate Russell. Brisbane Roar extended their lead to 2-0 on 42 minutes thanks to Nam Tae-Hee. Half-time: 2-0, Brisbane Roar in front.
Perth Glory pulled one back to make it 2-1 in the 60th minute: Matthew Ellis.
Match statistics
Corners finished 5-2.
What the result means
Perth Glory have now scored in 6 consecutive matches.
Coming up
Brisbane Roar visit Macarthur FC next, on 8 November in the A-League. Next up for Perth Glory: home to Newcastle Jets on Saturday 7 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
A-League
