Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 16' — BK Hacken took the lead: 1-0. An own goal by Jonas Bager. Half time: 1-0.
BK Hacken won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
BK HackenDrawIFK Goteborg
Pre-match model estimate: BK Hacken 58%, draw 21%, IFK Goteborg 21%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
BK HackenIFK Goteborg
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min00
Last 15 min00
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): BK Hacken win in 58% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and IFK Goteborg win 21%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 59%. About 10.7 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 13%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
BK Hacken took the lead on 16 minutes thanks to an own goal from Jonas Bager. It was BK Hacken 1-0 IFK Goteborg at half-time.
Match statistics
BK Hacken had 5 shots (4 on target) to IFK Goteborg's 1 (1). BK Hacken won 5 corners, IFK Goteborg 3.
What the result means
BK Hacken stay 4th on 49 points. IFK Goteborg remain 9th, now with 38 points. BK Hacken extend their unbeaten run to 9 matches. BK Hacken ended IFK Goteborg's unbeaten run of 4 matches.
Next fixtures
IFK Goteborg's next match is at home against Malmo FF on 8 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.