Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: AS Cittadella won 1-0.
Story
AS Cittadella vs Treviso: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
68' — AS Cittadella took the lead: 1-0. AS Cittadella won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AS CittadellaDrawTreviso
Pre-match model estimate: AS Cittadella 52%, draw 26%, Treviso 22%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AS Cittadella win in 52% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Treviso win 22%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 44%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AS Cittadella had 6 shots (5 on target) to Treviso's 5 (5). AS Cittadella produced 111 dangerous attacks to Treviso's 83.
What it means
In the table, AS Cittadella are 1st with 30 points. Treviso sit 6th on 19 points in the standings. AS Cittadella have now scored in 12 consecutive matches. It is AS Cittadella's first win against Treviso since 2008.
Coming up
AS Cittadella's next match is away to AS Giana Erminio on 8 November. Treviso host Novara next, on 8 November in Serie C, Group B.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie C, Group B
