Ajax Amsterdam vs PSV Eindhoven: the story of the match
5' — PSV Eindhoven took the lead: 0-1. R. Pepi scored it. 23' — Ajax Amsterdam equalised: 1-1. T. Arokodare scored it. 45' — PSV Eindhoven went back in front: 1-2. L. Geertruida scored it. Half time: 1-2.
90' — PSV Eindhoven extended the lead: 1-3. E. Bajraktarevic scored it. It came in the closing minutes. PSV Eindhoven won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
PSV Eindhoven took the lead in the 5th minute: R. Pepi, set up by R. van Bommel. Ajax Amsterdam drew level at 1-1 on 23 minutes thanks to T. Arokodare. PSV Eindhoven went 2-1 up on 45 minutes thanks to L. Geertruida. Half-time: 1-2, PSV Eindhoven in front.
Late on, in the 90th minute, PSV Eindhoven extended their lead to 3-1 through E. Bajraktarevic, set up by S. Mijnans.
What it means
It is PSV Eindhoven's first win over Ajax Amsterdam in the last 4 meetings on record.
Next fixtures
Ajax Amsterdam visit Twente next, on 8 November. Next up for PSV Eindhoven: away at SC Cambuur Leeuwarden on Sunday 8 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eredivisie
