29' — Silkeborg IF took the lead: 0-1. R. Al Hajj scored from the penalty spot. 39' — Silkeborg IF extended the lead: 0-2. L. Riisgaard scored it. Half time: 0-2.
88' — Aarhus GF pulled one back: 1-2. J. Serra scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Aarhus GF equalised: 2-2. J. Serra scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Aarhus GFDrawSilkeborg IF
Pre-match model estimate: Aarhus GF 58%, draw 24%, Silkeborg IF 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Aarhus GF and Silkeborg IF shared the points in a 2-2 draw in Superligaen. J. Serra scored twice for Aarhus GF. The half-time score was 0-2.
The story of the match
Silkeborg IF took the lead on 29 minutes thanks to R. Al Hajj from the penalty spot. Silkeborg IF extended their lead to 2-0 in the 39th minute: L. Riisgaard, set up by W. Kirk. Silkeborg IF led 2-0 at the break.
J. Serra reduced the deficit for Aarhus GF to 1-2 after 88 minutes, set up by F. Emmery. Aarhus GF drew level at 2-2 on 90 minutes thanks to J. Serra.
What the result means
Silkeborg IF have now gone 5 matches without a win. Across 5 meetings in our records: 2 wins for Aarhus GF and 3 draws.
Coming up
Aarhus GF host AC Horsens next, on 8 November in Superligaen. Next up for Silkeborg IF: home to Lyngby BK on Friday 6 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Superligaen
