53' — Aarhus GF took the lead: 1-0. Jacob Andersen scored it. 87' — Aarhus GF extended the lead: 2-0. Stefen Tchamche scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Aarhus GF won 2-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Aarhus GFDrawAC Horsens
Pre-match model estimate: Aarhus GF 57%, draw 22%, AC Horsens 21%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Aarhus GF win in 57% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and AC Horsens win 21%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 58%. About 10.2 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 14%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Aarhus GF kept a clean sheet in a 2-0 win over AC Horsens in Superliga. The half-time score was 0-0.
The story of the match
The first half ended 0-0.
Aarhus GF took the lead on 53 minutes thanks to Jacob Andersen. Stefen Tchamche made it 2-0 for Aarhus GF after 87 minutes.
Match statistics
Aarhus GF had 6 shots (4 on target) to AC Horsens' 3 (1). Aarhus GF won 5 corners, AC Horsens 3. Aarhus GF produced 212 dangerous attacks to AC Horsens' 159.
What it means
Aarhus GF stay 8th on 15 points. AC Horsens remain 7th, now with 16 points.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
