57' — Silkeborg IF took the lead: 1-0. Jens Martin Gammelby scored it. Silkeborg IF won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Silkeborg IFDrawLyngby BK
Pre-match model estimate: Silkeborg IF 42%, draw 24%, Lyngby BK 34%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Silkeborg IF win in 42% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Lyngby BK win 34%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 62%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The shot count read 7-0, 1-0 on target. Lyngby BK produced 129 dangerous attacks to Silkeborg IF's 103.
The bigger picture
Silkeborg IF stay 9th on 15 points. The result lifts Lyngby BK to 10th with 11 points, up from 11th. Silkeborg IF end a run of 4 matches without a win. Lyngby BK's run of 6 matches with a goal comes to an end.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
