Yeovil Town FC vs Altrincham FC: the story of the match
14' — Yeovil Town FC took the lead: 1-0. Johl Powell scored it. Half time: 1-0.
69' — Altrincham FC equalised: 1-1. Charlie Kirk scored it. 86' — Altrincham FC completed the turnaround: 1-2. Kristian Dennis scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 93' — Ben Radcliffe of Yeovil Town FC was sent off. Altrincham FC won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Yeovil Town FCDrawAltrincham FC
Pre-match model estimate: Yeovil Town FC 49%, draw 23%, Altrincham FC 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Yeovil Town FC win in 49% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Altrincham FC win 28%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 59%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Yeovil Town FC took the lead on 14 minutes thanks to Johl Powell. It was Yeovil Town FC 1-0 Altrincham FC at half-time.
Altrincham FC drew level at 1-1 on 69 minutes thanks to Charlie Kirk. Late on, in the 86th minute, Altrincham FC completed the turnaround at 2-1 through Kristian Dennis. Yeovil Town FC were a man down from the 93rd minute, when Ben Radcliffe was sent off.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 11-12, 7-9 on target. Yeovil Town FC won 6 corners, Altrincham FC 10.
The bigger picture
Altrincham FC ended Yeovil Town FC's unbeaten run of 8 matches. Altrincham FC extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches.
National League
