Scunthorpe United vs Woking FC: the story of the match
8' — Woking FC took the lead: 0-1. Aiden O'Brien scored it. 25' — Woking FC extended the lead: 0-2. John Marquis scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 0-2.
56' — Woking FC extended the lead: 0-3. Aiden O'Brien scored it. 61' — Rico Browne of Woking FC was sent off. 63' — Scunthorpe United pulled one back: 1-3. James Norwood scored it. 84' — Scunthorpe United pulled one back: 2-3. Luke Brennan scored it. Woking FC won 2-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawWoking FC
Pre-match model estimate: Scunthorpe United 41%, draw 24%, Woking FC 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Scunthorpe United win in 41% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Woking FC win 35%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 61%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Scunthorpe United – Woking FC match report
Updated:
Woking FC got the better of Scunthorpe United, winning 3-2 at Attis Arena. Woking FC owed a lot to Aiden O'Brien, who struck twice. It was 0-2 at half-time.
Key moments
Aiden O'Brien opened the scoring for Woking FC after 8 minutes. Woking FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 25 minutes thanks to John Marquis from the penalty spot. Half-time: 0-2, Woking FC in front.
Woking FC extended their lead to 3-0 in the 56th minute: Aiden O'Brien. Woking FC had a player sent off on 61 minutes: Rico Browne. Scunthorpe United pulled one back to make it 1-3 in the 63rd minute: James Norwood. Luke Brennan reduced the deficit for Scunthorpe United to 2-3 after 84 minutes.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 7-0, 5-0 on target. Corners finished 9-3. Woking FC's goalkeeper made 5 saves. Dangerous attacks: 170 for Scunthorpe United, 73 for Woking FC.
The bigger picture
A 3-game wait for victory is over for Woking FC. Woking FC beat Scunthorpe United for the first time since 2023.
National League
