Harrogate Town AFC vs Sutton United FC: the story of the match
30' — Harrogate Town AFC took the lead: 1-0. Bailey Hobson scored it. 32' — Harrogate Town AFC extended the lead: 2-0. Josh Hmami scored it. 35' — Harrogate Town AFC extended the lead: 3-0. George Thomson scored it. Half time: 3-0.
75' — Sutton United FC pulled one back: 3-1. Ben Brooks scored it. Harrogate Town AFC won 3-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Harrogate Town AFCDrawSutton United FC
Pre-match model estimate: Harrogate Town AFC 61%, draw 22%, Sutton United FC 17%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Harrogate Town AFC win in 61% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Sutton United FC win 17%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-0 (12%); both teams score in 49%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Harrogate Town AFC – Sutton United FC match report
Bailey Hobson opened the scoring for Harrogate Town AFC after 30 minutes. Harrogate Town AFC extended their lead to 2-0 in the 32nd minute: Josh Hmami. George Thomson made it 3-0 for Harrogate Town AFC after 35 minutes. Half-time: 3-0, Harrogate Town AFC in front.
Sutton United FC pulled one back to make it 3-1 in the 75th minute: Ben Brooks.
The statistics
Harrogate Town AFC had 7 shots (7 on target) to Sutton United FC's 2 (1). Corners finished 8-3. Dangerous attacks: 57 for Harrogate Town AFC, 24 for Sutton United FC.
What it means
Harrogate Town AFC remain 2nd, now with 31 points. Sutton United FC slip to 16th (18 points), having started the day 13th. Harrogate Town AFC are now unbeaten in 7 matches.
Next fixtures
Next up for Harrogate Town AFC: away at Carlisle United on Wednesday 28 October. Sutton United FC's next match is at home against Aldershot Town FC on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
National League
