77' — J. Laine of Inter Turku was sent off. 84' — Inter Turku took the lead: 0-1. L. Laine scored it. Inter Turku won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
VPSDrawInter Turku
Pre-match model estimate: VPS 18%, draw 23%, Inter Turku 59%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): VPS win in 18% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Inter Turku win 59%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 0-1 (12%); both teams score in 49%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
J. Laine saw a straight red card in the 77th minute, leaving Inter Turku short-handed. Inter Turku took the lead in the 84th minute: L. Laine, set up by E. Kiiskila.
Match statistics
On target it was 0-3, from 3 and 3 attempts respectively. Corners finished 1-7. Dangerous attacks: 79 for Inter Turku, 31 for VPS.
Next fixtures
VPS visit IF Gnistan next, on 8 November in the Veikkausliiga, Relegation Round. Next up for Inter Turku: away at KuPS Kuopio on Sunday 8 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Veikkausliiga, Relegation Round
