KuPS Kuopio vs Inter Turku: the story of the match
21' — Inter Turku took the lead: 0-1. Alie Conteh scored it. Half time: 0-1.
49' — Inter Turku extended the lead: 0-2. J. Tuominen scored it. Inter Turku won 0-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
KuPS KuopioDrawInter Turku
Pre-match model estimate: KuPS Kuopio 26%, draw 23%, Inter Turku 51%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): KuPS Kuopio win in 26% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Inter Turku win 51%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 57%. About 10.2 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
KuPS Kuopio failed to score as Inter Turku won 2-0 in the Veikkausliiga. It was 0-1 at half-time.
Key moments
Inter Turku took the lead in the 21st minute: Alie Conteh, set up by S. Saarinen. It was KuPS Kuopio 0-1 Inter Turku at half-time.
Inter Turku extended their lead to 2-0 on 49 minutes thanks to J. Tuominen.
Match statistics
The shot count read 10-3, 7-1 on target. Corners finished 9-0. Inter Turku's goalkeeper made 7 saves. Dangerous attacks: 178 for KuPS Kuopio, 59 for Inter Turku.
The bigger picture
KuPS Kuopio move on to 43 points. The result takes Inter Turku to 45 points. The wait for a win goes on for KuPS Kuopio: 6 matches now. Inter Turku have now scored in 6 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
