45' — AZ Alkmaar took the lead: 0-1. P. Koopmeiners scored it. Half time: 0-1.
47' — AZ Alkmaar extended the lead: 0-2. Weslley Patati scored it. 49' — AZ Alkmaar extended the lead: 0-3. M. Meerdink scored it. 62' — Utrecht pulled one back: 1-3. A. Stepanov scored it. 84' — AZ Alkmaar extended the lead: 1-4. A. Oufkir scored it. AZ Alkmaar won 1-4.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
UtrechtDrawAZ Alkmaar
Pre-match model estimate: Utrecht 19%, draw 22%, AZ Alkmaar 59%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
P. Koopmeiners opened the scoring for AZ Alkmaar after 45 minutes. Half-time: 0-1, AZ Alkmaar in front.
AZ Alkmaar extended their lead to 2-0 in the 47th minute: Weslley Patati, set up by K. Smit. M. Meerdink made it 3-0 for AZ Alkmaar after 49 minutes, set up by M. Chavez Garcia. Utrecht pulled one back to make it 1-3 in the 62nd minute: A. Stepanov, set up by Y. Cathline. AZ Alkmaar extended their lead to 4-1 on 84 minutes thanks to A. Oufkir, set up by M. Chavez Garcia.
Next fixtures
Next up for Utrecht: home to NEC Nijmegen on Sunday 8 November. AZ Alkmaar's next match is at home against Juventus on 5 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eredivisie
