This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
USV Scheiblingkirchen-WarthSV Horn
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min6812
Last 15 min7019
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth win in 42% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and SV Horn win 34%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 62%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth – SV Horn match report
It was USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 0-0 SV Horn at half-time; USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth had the better of the pressure.
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth took the lead on 81 minutes. SV Horn drew level at 1-1 on 83 minutes.
The statistics
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth had 3 shots (1 on target) to SV Horn's 1 (1). USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth won 12 corners, SV Horn 4. USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth produced 82 dangerous attacks to SV Horn's 33.
What it means
The result lifts USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth to 9th with 21 points, up from 10th. SV Horn climb from 15th to 14th on 13 points. USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth have now gone 5 matches without a win. The wait for a win goes on for SV Horn: 7 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
