One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
UD LlaneraKick-off0-0Bergantinos CF
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): UD Llanera win in 31% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Bergantinos CF win 44%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 55%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 5.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Goals scored per match: 2.1Goals conceded per match: 1.4
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: UD Llanera won 4-3.
Story
UD Llanera vs Bergantinos CF: the story of the match
7' — Bergantinos CF took the lead: 0-1. 13' — UD Llanera equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
58' — Bergantinos CF went back in front: 1-2. 60' — Bergantinos CF extended the lead: 1-3. 67' — UD Llanera pulled one back: 2-3. 86' — UD Llanera equalised: 3-3. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — UD Llanera completed the turnaround: 4-3. It came in the closing minutes. UD Llanera won 4-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
UD LlaneraDrawBergantinos CF
Pre-match model estimate: UD Llanera 31%, draw 25%, Bergantinos CF 44%.
Bergantinos CF took the lead on 7 minutes. UD Llanera drew level at 1-1 on 13 minutes. The first half ended 1-1.
Bergantinos CF went 2-1 up on 58 minutes. Just 2 minutes later (60') Bergantinos CF extended their lead to 3-1. UD Llanera pulled one back to make it 2-3 on 67 minutes. UD Llanera drew level at 3-3 on 86 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, UD Llanera completed the turnaround at 4-3.
What the numbers say
UD Llanera had 8 shots (1 on target) to Bergantinos CF's 3 (1). Corners finished 6-4. Cards: 4-2 in yellows. Dangerous attacks: 229 for UD Llanera, 144 for Bergantinos CF. UD Llanera committed 10 fouls to Bergantinos CF's 11, and the offside count read 4-4.
Before the match
Before kick-off UD Llanera were 17th on 7 points and Bergantinos CF 3rd on 18 points. UD Llanera came into the match with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 matches — scoring in 7 straight games. Real Oviedo Vetusta beat UD Llanera 2-1 last time out. Before kick-off, Bergantinos CF's last 5 matches had brought 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Bergantinos CF drew 1-1 with Ourense CF last time out. The record between them over the last 4 matches reads 3-1-0 from UD Llanera's point of view. The last meeting, in 2025 in the Segunda Federacion, Group V, ended in a 1-0 win for UD Llanera. Those 4 games produced 10 goals, an average of 2.5 per match.
What the result means
A 4-game wait for victory is over for UD Llanera. Bergantinos CF have now scored in 8 consecutive matches.
What’s next
UD Llanera's next match is away to Coruxo FC on 15 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Segunda Federacion, Group V
