Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CD Estepona beat UD Tamaraceite 5-0 in Segunda Federacion, Group V.
Match decisions & VAR
34'Red cardUD TamaraceiteDecision
90'Penalty awardedCD EsteponaDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: CD Estepona won 5-0.
Story
CD Estepona vs UD Tamaraceite: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 29' — CD Estepona took the lead: 1-0. 34' — UD Tamaraceite had a player sent off. 37' — CD Estepona extended the lead: 2-0. 42' — CD Estepona extended the lead: 3-0. Half time: 3-0, with CD Estepona applying more of the pressure.
64' — CD Estepona extended the lead: 4-0. 90' — CD Estepona extended the lead: 5-0. It came in the closing minutes. CD Estepona won 5-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD EsteponaDrawUD Tamaraceite
Pre-match model estimate: CD Estepona 67%, draw 19%, UD Tamaraceite 14%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
CD EsteponaUD Tamaraceite
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min390
Last 15 min6931
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Estepona win in 67% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and UD Tamaraceite win 14%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 51%. About 9.1 corners on average. About 5.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Estepona took the lead on 29 minutes. UD Tamaraceite had a player sent off on 34 minutes. Just 3 minutes later (37') CD Estepona extended their lead to 2-0. Just 5 minutes later (42') CD Estepona extended their lead to 3-0. It was CD Estepona 3-0 UD Tamaraceite at half-time; CD Estepona had the better of the pressure.
CD Estepona extended their lead to 4-0 on 64 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, CD Estepona extended their lead to 5-0.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 5-4, 3-3 on target. CD Estepona produced 106 dangerous attacks to UD Tamaraceite's 44.
What it means
CD Estepona end a run of 3 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Segunda Federacion, Group V
