Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CD Alcoyano beat UD Castellonense 4-3 in Segunda Federacion, Group V.
Match decisions & VAR
92'Red cardCD AlcoyanoDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: CD Alcoyano won 3-4.
Story
UD Castellonense vs CD Alcoyano: the story of the match
15' — CD Alcoyano took the lead: 0-1. 25' — CD Alcoyano extended the lead: 0-2. 31' — CD Alcoyano extended the lead: 0-3. Half time: 0-3.
70' — UD Castellonense pulled one back: 1-3. 72' — CD Alcoyano extended the lead: 1-4. 86' — UD Castellonense pulled one back: 2-4. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — UD Castellonense pulled one back: 3-4. It came in the closing minutes. 92' — CD Alcoyano had a player sent off. CD Alcoyano won 3-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
UD CastellonenseDrawCD Alcoyano
Pre-match model estimate: UD Castellonense 37%, draw 29%, CD Alcoyano 34%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): UD Castellonense win in 37% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and CD Alcoyano win 34%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 44%. About 9.6 corners on average. About 5.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Alcoyano took the lead on 15 minutes. CD Alcoyano extended their lead to 2-0 on 25 minutes. Just 6 minutes later (31') CD Alcoyano extended their lead to 3-0. CD Alcoyano led 3-0 at the break.
UD Castellonense pulled one back to make it 1-3 on 70 minutes. CD Alcoyano extended their lead to 4-1 on 72 minutes. Late on, in the 86th minute, UD Castellonense pulled one back to make it 2-4. Just 4 minutes later (90') UD Castellonense pulled one back to make it 3-4. CD Alcoyano had a player sent off on 92 minutes.
Match statistics
UD Castellonense won 7 corners, CD Alcoyano 4.
The bigger picture
UD Castellonense have now scored in 6 consecutive matches. CD Alcoyano end a run of 3 matches without a win.
What’s next
UD Castellonense host La Nucia next, on 11 November in the Segunda Federacion, Group V. Next up for CD Alcoyano: home to Elche Ilicitano on Wednesday 11 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Segunda Federacion, Group V
