Portugal
U23 Liga Next Gen Round 11Pressure minute by minute, from attacks, dangerous attacks, shots and corners.
Sporting CP U23 and Braga U23 are playing now in U23 Liga Next Gen; the score is 2-0.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards. Match in progress — new decisions appear here.
Last update:
Live data; the result is verified after full time.
An even contest (2-0): both sides' pressure close over the last 5 minutes.
Why it matters: Fresh goal
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: Sporting CP U23 43%, draw 25%, Braga U23 32%.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 31' — Sporting CP U23 took the lead: 1-0. 35' — Sporting CP U23 extended the lead: 2-0. The goal came from the penalty spot. Our model right now: Sporting CP U23 90%, draw 7%, Braga U23 3%.
What the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Sporting CP U23 win in 43% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Braga U23 win 32%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 58%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ScoreMondo · Last update:
38 minutes played: Sporting CP U23 2-0 Braga U23.
Sporting CP U23 took the lead on 31 minutes. Braga U23 had a goal ruled out in the 35th minute. Sporting CP U23 extended their lead to 2-0 on 35 minutes.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
