One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Shrewsbury TownKick-off0-0Gillingham
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Shrewsbury Town win in 48% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Gillingham win 26%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 49%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
Goals scored per match: 1.5Goals conceded per match: 1.8
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Gillingham won 1-2.
Story
Shrewsbury Town vs Gillingham: the story of the match
3' — Gillingham took the lead: 0-1. Harry Waldock scored it. Half time: 0-1.
60' — Shrewsbury Town equalised: 1-1. George Lloyd scored from the penalty spot. 80' — Gillingham went back in front: 1-2. Andy Smith scored it. Gillingham won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Shrewsbury TownDrawGillingham
Pre-match model estimate: Shrewsbury Town 48%, draw 26%, Gillingham 26%.
Shrewsbury Town went down 2-1 to Gillingham in the League Two. The half-time score was 0-1. The top ScoreMondo rating of the match went to Shrewsbury Town's Thomas Sang: 8.5. Saturday 31 October, The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury): Shrewsbury Town against Gillingham on matchday 14, kick-off 15:02. 5,255 spectators were at The Croud Meadow.
Key moments
Gillingham took the lead on 3 minutes thanks to Harry Waldock. Gillingham led 1-0 at the break.
Shrewsbury Town drew level at 1-1 in the 60th minute with George Lloyd from the penalty spot. Gillingham went 2-1 up on 80 minutes thanks to Andy Smith.
What the numbers say
On target it was 7-7, from 11 and 7 attempts respectively. Shrewsbury Town won 7 corners, Gillingham 2. The referee showed 5 yellow cards, 2 to Shrewsbury Town and 3 to Gillingham. Shrewsbury Town produced 72 dangerous attacks to Gillingham's 30. Fouls: 6 by Shrewsbury Town, 18 by Gillingham; offsides 0-1.
Before kick-off, Shrewsbury Town's last 5 matches had brought 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Last time out, Shrewsbury Town beat Everton U212-1 at home. Gillingham came into the match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches — scoring in 5 straight games. Grimsby Town beat Gillingham 4-1 last time out. Shrewsbury Town and Gillingham have met 10 times in our records: 2 wins for Shrewsbury Town, 2 for Gillingham and 6 draws. When they last met, on 2 May 2026, Gillingham won 1-0. There have been 22 goals in the 10 meetings, 2.2 a game. Referee N. Hair showed 5 yellow cards; the average in our records is 3.9 yellows per game over 38 matches.
What the result means
In the table, Shrewsbury Town are 15th with 18 points. Gillingham sit 8th on 20 points in the standings. Gillingham ended Shrewsbury Town's unbeaten run of 4 matches. Gillingham end a run of 3 matches without a win.
What’s next
Next up for Shrewsbury Town: home to Oldham Athletic on Saturday 14 November. Gillingham's next match is away to Colchester United on 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League Two
