Shrewsbury Town vs Everton U21: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0.
51' — Shrewsbury Town took the lead: 1-0. Michael Golding scored it. 84' — Everton U21 equalised: 1-1. Omari Benjamin scored it. 90' — Shrewsbury Town went back in front: 2-1. Jeval Thompson-Mckenzie scored it. It came in the closing minutes. After 46' the momentum swung to Shrewsbury Town. After 76' the momentum swung to Everton U21. After 91' the momentum swung to Shrewsbury Town. Shrewsbury Town won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Shrewsbury TownDrawEverton U21
Pre-match model estimate: Shrewsbury Town 53%, draw 22%, Everton U21 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Shrewsbury TownEverton U21
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min850
Last 15 min5863
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Shrewsbury Town win in 53% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Everton U21 win 25%. Average goals 3.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 64%. About 10.5 corners on average. About 3.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It was Shrewsbury Town 0-0 Everton U21 at half-time.
Shrewsbury Town took over after the 46th minute, pinning Everton U21 back. Shrewsbury Town took the lead on 51 minutes thanks to Michael Golding. From the 76th minute the pressure shifted towards Everton U21. Everton U21 drew level at 1-1 on 84 minutes thanks to Omari Benjamin. Late on, in the 90th minute, Shrewsbury Town went 2-1 up through Jeval Thompson-Mckenzie.
What the numbers say
On target it was 7-6, from 7 and 9 attempts respectively. Shrewsbury Town won 8 corners, Everton U21 6.
What the result means
Shrewsbury Town extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches.
Coming up
Shrewsbury Town host Gillingham next, on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
