42' — Gillingham took the lead: 1-0. Ronan Hale scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 1-0.
66' — Port Vale equalised: 1-1. Keyrol Figueroa scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
GillinghamDrawPort Vale
Pre-match model estimate: Gillingham 43%, draw 28%, Port Vale 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Gillingham win in 43% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Port Vale win 29%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 47%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Neither Gillingham nor Port Vale could find a winner in a 1-1 draw. The half-time score was 1-0. 4,866 spectators were at Priestfield Stadium.
How the match unfolded
Gillingham took the lead on 42 minutes thanks to Ronan Hale from the penalty spot. Gillingham led 1-0 at the break.
Port Vale drew level at 1-1 in the 66th minute: Keyrol Figueroa.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 4-8, 2-3 on target. Gillingham won 9 corners, Port Vale 4.
What the result means
Gillingham have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. The result ends Port Vale's run of 3 straight wins. Across 11 meetings in our records: 3 wins for Gillingham, 4 wins for Port Vale and 4 draws.
Coming up
Gillingham's next match is at home against Barrow AFC on 7 November. Port Vale host Scunthorpe United next, on 7 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
