One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
SC SagamiharaKick-off0-0Kagoshima United
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): SC Sagamihara win in 22% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Kagoshima United win 56%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 54%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 3.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 11%.
SC Sagamihara beat Kagoshima United1-0 without conceding at Sagamihara Gion Stadium. The half-time score was 0-0. The top ScoreMondo rating of the match went to SC Sagamihara's A. Tanahashi: 7.2. Sunday 8 November, Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara): SC Sagamihara against Kagoshima United on matchday 16, kick-off 05:00.
Key moments
Half-time: 0-0 between SC Sagamihara and Kagoshima United.
SC Sagamihara took the lead on 48 minutes thanks to A. Tanahashi. Kagoshima United had a player sent off on 55 minutes: Y. Yamada.
Match statistics
SC Sagamihara won 3 corners, Kagoshima United 6. Cards: 0-2 in yellows, plus a red card for Kagoshima United. Fouls: 18 by SC Sagamihara, 12 by Kagoshima United; offsides 2-1.
Booked for Kagoshima United: G. Egawa (1') and Juanma Delgado (92').
Ratings and substitutions
Behind him, K. Pytlik at 6.2, K. Sasaki at 6.2 and K. Watahiki at 6.2 were next in the ScoreMondo ratings. SC Sagamihara made 4 changes: M. Handai for R. Nakayama (66'), Y. Okuyama for K. Sasaki (85'), S. Kato for T. Maeda (93') and Y. Tokunaga for A. Tanahashi (93'). From the Kagoshima United bench came K. Kawakami on 14 minutes, W. Tanaka on 55 minutes, Juanma Delgado on 55 minutes and M. Fukuda on 75 minutes, among 5 changes.
Before the match
The table had SC Sagamihara 4th (28 points) and Kagoshima United 1st (31 points) going into the game. Before kick-off, SC Sagamihara's last 5 matches had brought 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Last time out, SC Sagamihara beat Gainare Tottori1-0 away. Kagoshima United came into the match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches — scoring in 5 straight games. Kagoshima United were held 1-1 by Renofa Yamaguchi FC in their latest outing. SC Sagamihara and Kagoshima United have met 10 times in our records: 4 wins for SC Sagamihara and 6 for Kagoshima United. When they last met, on 16 August 2025, Kagoshima United won 3-0. There have been 21 goals in the 10 meetings, 2.1 a game.
The bigger picture
The result lifts SC Sagamihara to 3rd with 31 points, up from 4th. Kagoshima United drop from 1st to 4th on 31 points. SC Sagamihara extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches. Kagoshima United have now gone 4 matches without a win. It is SC Sagamihara's first win against Kagoshima United since 2022.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
