Kagoshima United vs Kochi United SC: the story of the match
2' — Kagoshima United took the lead: 1-0. A. Takahashi scored it. 35' — Kagoshima United extended the lead: 2-0. A. Takahashi scored it. Half time: 2-0.
87' — Kagoshima United extended the lead: 3-0. M. Fukuda scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Kochi United SC pulled one back: 3-1. R. Fujimori scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Kagoshima United won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Kagoshima UnitedDrawKochi United SC
Pre-match model estimate: Kagoshima United 85%, draw 10%, Kochi United SC 5%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Kagoshima United win in 85% of the simulated matches, 10% end level and Kochi United SC win 5%. Average goals 3.8; the most likely score is 3-0 (11%); both teams score in 47%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 3.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 14%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Kagoshima United took the lead on 2 minutes thanks to A. Takahashi, set up by K. Yoshio. Kagoshima United extended their lead to 2-0 on 35 minutes thanks to A. Takahashi. Kagoshima United led 2-0 at the break.
Kagoshima United extended their lead to 3-0 on 87 minutes thanks to M. Fukuda, set up by S. Inaba. R. Fujimori reduced the deficit for Kochi United SC to 3-1 after 90 minutes, set up by G. Sekino.
Match statistics
Kagoshima United won 4 corners, Kochi United SC 4. Kagoshima United produced 42 dangerous attacks to Kochi United SC's 24.
The bigger picture
It is now 6 straight defeats for Kochi United SC.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
