Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FC Osaka beat Kagoshima United 2-1 in J3 League.
In our records FC Osaka and Kagoshima United have met 4 times: FC Osaka won 1, 0 ended level and Kagoshima United won 3.
Their latest meeting (): Kagoshima United 2-1 FC Osaka.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FC Osaka won 2-1.
Story
FC Osaka vs Kagoshima United: the story of the match
15' — FC Osaka took the lead: 1-0. 43' — Kagoshima United equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
51' — FC Osaka went back in front: 2-1. FC Osaka won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC OsakaDrawKagoshima United
Pre-match model estimate: FC Osaka 32%, draw 26%, Kagoshima United 42%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Osaka win in 32% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Kagoshima United win 42%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 54%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 3.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 14%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
