7' — Santa Clara took the lead: 0-1. J. Tavares scored it. 35' — CD Mafra equalised: 1-1. R. Matos scored it. Half time: 1-1.
47' — J. Tavares of Santa Clara was sent off. 61' — Santa Clara went back in front: 1-2. Fernando scored it. 90' — CD Mafra equalised: 2-2. R. Matos scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 102' — CD Mafra completed the turnaround: 3-2. M. Niang scored it. It came in the closing minutes. CD Mafra won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD MafraDrawSanta Clara
Pre-match model estimate: CD Mafra 21%, draw 25%, Santa Clara 54%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Santa Clara took the lead on 7 minutes thanks to J. Tavares. CD Mafra drew level at 1-1 on 35 minutes thanks to R. Matos. It was CD Mafra 1-1 Santa Clara at half-time.
J. Tavares saw a second yellow and then red in the 47th minute, leaving Santa Clara short-handed. Fernando put Santa Clara 2-1 ahead after 61 minutes. CD Mafra drew level at 2-2 in the 90th minute: R. Matos. Late on, in the 102nd minute, CD Mafra completed the turnaround at 3-2 through M. Niang.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 8-16, 5-12 on target. CD Mafra won 7 corners, Santa Clara 5.
The bigger picture
CD Mafra end a run of 3 matches without a win. CD Mafra ended Santa Clara's unbeaten run of 8 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
