Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
SL Benfica and Gil Vicente meet on in League Cup.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards SL Benfica (71%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
71%17%
SL Benfica71%Draw17%Gil Vicente12%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente: preview
SL Benfica have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. SL Benfica have scored in 12 matches in a row. 8 of SL Benfica's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. Gil Vicente have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. 3 of Gil Vicente's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
Our pre-match model estimate: SL Benfica 71%, draw 17%, Gil Vicente 12%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): SL Benfica win in 71% of the simulated matches, 17% end level and Gil Vicente win 12%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 54%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
SL Benfica have 4 wins and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 6. SL Benfica have scored in each of their last 12 matches. 8 of SL Benfica's last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
Over the last 5 matches, Gil Vicente have collected 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Gil Vicente lost 1-0 at home to Porto in their last match. Gil Vicente average 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game over their last 10.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League Cup
