Rio Ave vs Braga (Liga Portugal) kick-off time: 08/11/2026 19:30
Portugal
Liga Portugal Round 11
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- Rio AveLLWWL
- BragaWDLWL
Recent meetings
More- Liga PortugalBraga3 - 0Rio Ave
- Liga PortugalRio Ave2 - 2Braga
- Liga PortugalRio Ave2 - 1Braga
Liga Portugal
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Braga | 10 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 10 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 | CD Nacional Madeira | 10 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 | Casa Pia AC | 10 | -14 | 7 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Rio Ave and Braga meet on in Liga Portugal.
Venue: Estádio do Rio Ave.
In our records Rio Ave and Braga have met 10 times: Rio Ave won 1, 3 ended level and Braga won 6.
Their latest meeting (): Braga 3-0 Rio Ave.
Missing players
Players who will not play in this match, and doubtful ones
Rio Ave
- A. NtoiRed card ban · misses the next Liga Portugal match
Based on the pre-match reports; it can change until kick-off.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Braga (63%).
Why it matters: A relegation battle for Rio Ave.
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Rio Ave vs Braga: preview
Rio Ave have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. 6 of Rio Ave's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3. Braga have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 6 of Braga's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
In their last 10 meetings, Rio Ave won 1, 3 ended level and Braga won 6. Rio Ave are in position 16 with 7 points, Braga in position 8 with 14 points. A win could lift Rio Ave as high as position 11. A win could lift Braga as high as position 7.
Our pre-match model estimate: Rio Ave 16%, draw 21%, Braga 63%.
Table by result
- A win can lift them out of the danger zone (Relegation).
- A defeat can drop them as low as 17.
- A win lifts them to 7.
- A defeat can drop them as low as 9.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Rio Ave win in 16% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Braga win 63%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 0-1 (12%); both teams score in 48%. About 9.2 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
