Estrela Amadora vs SL Benfica: the story of the match
26' — SL Benfica took the lead: 0-1. Gianluca Prestianni scored it. Half time: 0-1.
48' — Estrela Amadora equalised: 1-1. Lovro Zvonarek scored it. 68' — SL Benfica went back in front: 1-2. An own goal by Bernardo Schappo. 76' — Estrela Amadora equalised: 2-2. Leandro Antonetti scored it. 90' — SL Benfica went back in front: 2-3. It came in the closing minutes. SL Benfica won 2-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Estrela Amadora win in 6% of the simulated matches, 12% end level and SL Benfica win 82%. Average goals 3.7; the most likely score is 0-2 (11%); both teams score in 49%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A goal in the 90th minute gave SL Benfica a 3-2 win against Estrela Amadora in Liga Portugal. The half-time score was 0-1.
Key moments
SL Benfica took the lead on 26 minutes thanks to Gianluca Prestianni, set up by Claudio Echeverri. It was Estrela Amadora 0-1 SL Benfica at half-time.
Estrela Amadora drew level at 1-1 on 48 minutes thanks to Lovro Zvonarek, set up by Rafa Soares. SL Benfica went 2-1 up on 68 minutes thanks to an own goal from Bernardo Schappo. Estrela Amadora drew level at 2-2 in the 76th minute: Leandro Antonetti, set up by Joan Jordán. SL Benfica went 3-2 up on 90 minutes.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 1-10. SL Benfica produced 60 dangerous attacks to Estrela Amadora's 18.
What the result means
Estrela Amadora stay 12th on 10 points. SL Benfica remain 2nd, now with 28 points. SL Benfica have now won 8 in a row.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
