Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: the story of the match
14' — Real Madrid took the lead: 1-0. K. Mbappe scored from the penalty spot. 17' — Real Madrid extended the lead: 2-0. A. Carreras scored it. 35' — Real Madrid extended the lead: 3-0. J. Bellingham scored it. Half time: 3-0.
51' — Rayo Vallecano pulled one back: 3-1. S. Camello scored it. 90' — Real Madrid extended the lead: 4-1. K. Mbappe scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Real Madrid won 4-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Real MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
Pre-match model estimate: Real Madrid 79%, draw 14%, Rayo Vallecano 7%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Rayo Vallecano were beaten 4-1 by a rampant Real Madrid. K. Mbappe scored twice for Real Madrid. The half-time score was 3-0.
The story of the match
Real Madrid took the lead on 14 minutes thanks to K. Mbappe from the penalty spot. Real Madrid extended their lead to 2-0 on 17 minutes thanks to A. Carreras, set up by K. Mbappe. Real Madrid extended their lead to 3-0 on 35 minutes thanks to J. Bellingham, set up by Vinicius Junior. Real Madrid led 3-0 at the break.
Rayo Vallecano pulled one back to make it 3-1 on 51 minutes thanks to S. Camello. Real Madrid extended their lead to 4-1 in the 90th minute: K. Mbappe, set up by A. Guler.
The bigger picture
Rayo Vallecano have now scored in 5 consecutive matches.
Next fixtures
Real Madrid visit Valencia next, on 7 November in LaLiga. Next up for Rayo Vallecano: away at Real Sociedad on Sunday 8 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
LaLiga
