Boyaca Chico vs Internacional de Bogota: the story of the match
33' — Internacional de Bogota took the lead: 0-1. An own goal by Cristian Blanco. 45' — Boyaca Chico equalised: 1-1. Juan Díaz scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 1-1.
59' — Boyaca Chico completed the turnaround: 2-1. Juan Díaz scored from the penalty spot. Boyaca Chico won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Boyaca ChicoDrawInternacional de Bogota
Pre-match model estimate: Boyaca Chico 33%, draw 27%, Internacional de Bogota 40%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Boyaca Chico win in 33% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Internacional de Bogota win 40%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 48%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 4.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 29%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Boyaca Chico – Internacional de Bogota match report
Internacional de Bogota took the lead on 33 minutes thanks to an own goal from Cristian Blanco. Boyaca Chico drew level at 1-1 on 45 minutes thanks to Juan Díaz from the penalty spot. The first half ended 1-1.
VAR disallowed a Internacional de Bogota goal on 52 minutes. Boyaca Chico completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 59th minute: Juan Díaz from the penalty spot.
Match statistics
On target it was 4-9, from 4 and 10 attempts respectively. Corners finished 7-11.
What it means
Boyaca Chico move on to 20 points. The result takes Internacional de Bogota to 28 points.
Coming up
Internacional de Bogota host America de Cali next, on 10 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
