CA Tigre BA vs CA Sarmiento Junin: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
50' — Gastón González of CA Sarmiento Junin was sent off. 55' — Lucas Suarez of CA Sarmiento Junin was sent off. 70' — CA Tigre BA took the lead: 1-0. Santiago López scored it. CA Tigre BA won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CA Tigre BADrawCA Sarmiento Junin
Pre-match model estimate: CA Tigre BA 50%, draw 27%, CA Sarmiento Junin 23%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CA Tigre BA win in 50% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and CA Sarmiento Junin win 23%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-0 (15%); both teams score in 44%. About 10.5 corners on average. About 4.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Half-time: 0-0 between CA Tigre BA and CA Sarmiento Junin.
CA Sarmiento Junin had a player sent off on 50 minutes: Gastón González. CA Sarmiento Junin were a man down from the 55th minute, when Lucas Suarez was sent off. CA Tigre BA took the lead on 70 minutes thanks to Santiago López, set up by Jabes Saralegui. CA Tigre BA had a goal ruled out in the 84th minute.
Match statistics
CA Tigre BA had 5 shots (4 on target) to CA Sarmiento Junin's 1 (0). CA Tigre BA won 4 corners, CA Sarmiento Junin 4. CA Tigre BA produced 64 dangerous attacks to CA Sarmiento Junin's 41.
What it means
The result takes CA Tigre BA to 23 points. CA Sarmiento Junin move on to 19 points. CA Sarmiento Junin have now gone 5 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera LPF, Clausura
