This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Borussia Dortmund win in 67% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and Eintracht Frankfurt win 15%. Average goals 3.7; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 63%. About 10.1 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Borussia Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt match report
On target it was 4-2, from 12 and 4 attempts respectively. Corners finished 13-1. Dangerous attacks: 179 for Borussia Dortmund, 72 for Eintracht Frankfurt.
What it means
Borussia Dortmund remain 2nd, now with 17 points. Eintracht Frankfurt slip to 14th (8 points), having started the day 11th.
Next fixtures
Borussia Dortmund visit Bayern Munich next, on 31 October in the Bundesliga. Next up for Eintracht Frankfurt: home to Hamburger SV on Sunday 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Bundesliga
