Racing Santander vs Espanyol: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
62' — Espanyol took the lead: 0-1. Edu Expósito scored it. 69' — Racing Santander equalised: 1-1. Jeanuël Belocian scored it. 84' — Racing Santander completed the turnaround: 2-1. Yassir Zabiri scored it. Racing Santander won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Racing SantanderDrawEspanyol
Pre-match model estimate: Racing Santander 33%, draw 22%, Espanyol 45%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Racing Santander win in 33% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Espanyol win 45%. Average goals 3.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (9%); both teams score in 66%. About 10.1 corners on average. About 4.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 25%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The result lifts Racing Santander to 13th with 11 points, up from 17th. Espanyol drop from 16th to 18th on 8 points. Racing Santander end a run of 4 matches without a win. Espanyol have now gone 5 matches without a win.
Next fixtures
Next up for Racing Santander: home to Real Madrid on Sunday 1 November. Espanyol's next match is away to Villarreal on 30 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
LaLiga
