Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF: the story of the match
24' — Elche CF took the lead: 0-1. Federico Redondo scored from the penalty spot. 36' — Elche CF extended the lead: 0-2. Fer Niño scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 0-2.
68' — Elche CF extended the lead: 0-3. Germán Valera scored it. Elche CF won 0-3.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Rayo Vallecano win in 55% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Elche CF win 23%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 55%. About 10.2 corners on average. About 4.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 25%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Rayo Vallecano – Elche CF match report
Updated:
Rayo Vallecano were beaten 3-0 by a rampant Elche CF. It was 0-2 at half-time. The attendance at Estadio de Vallecas was 8,405.
How the match unfolded
Federico Redondo opened the scoring for Elche CF after 24 minutes. Elche CF extended their lead to 2-0 on 36 minutes thanks to Fer Niño from the penalty spot. Half-time: 0-2, Elche CF in front.
Rayo Vallecano slip to 16th (9 points), having started the day 14th. Elche CF climb from 18th to 15th on 10 points. Rayo Vallecano's 3-match unbeaten run is over. Elche CF are now unbeaten in 4 matches.
Next fixtures
Next up for Rayo Vallecano: home to Celta de Vigo on Saturday 31 October. Elche CF's next match is at home against Valencia on 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.