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Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Potenza CalcioKick-off0-0US Scafatese Calcio
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Potenza Calcio 2.1 – 1.1 US Scafatese Calcio. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Both teams score in 58% of the simulated matches. About 10.0 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
Potenza CalcioUS Scafatese Calcio
Potenza Calcio: the stronger side on our resultsPCstrong
Potenza Calcio: home advantage in this competitionPCstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Potenza Calcio come into it with 4 wins and 1 draw from 5 matches. Potenza Calcio are unbeaten in 10 matches. At home, Potenza Calcio have 5 wins from their last 5 matches, with a goal tally of 16-8. Goals have flowed in Potenza Calcio's games: 9 of the last 10 produced at least three.
US Scafatese Calcio have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. US Scafatese Calcio have found the net in 8 straight games. US Scafatese Calcio's recent away record reads 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Across 10 matches, US Scafatese Calcio have scored 1.7 and let in 1.0 goals per match on average.
Head to head
Potenza Calcio and US Scafatese Calcio have met 2 times in our records: 2 wins for Potenza Calcio. The last meeting, in 2015, ended in a 1-0 win for Potenza Calcio.