Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Inter Milan U23 beat US Scafatese Calcio 2-1 in Serie C, Group B.
Venue: Stadio Ernesto Breda.
Match decisions & VAR
8'Review overVAR review · penaltyDecision
49'Penalty awardedVARInter Milan U23Decision
58'Red cardVARUS Scafatese CalcioDecision
93'Review overVAR review · penaltyDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Inter Milan U23 won 2-1.
Story
Inter Milan U23 vs US Scafatese Calcio: the story of the match
Inter Milan U23 started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 36' — Inter Milan U23 took the lead: 1-0. 39' — US Scafatese Calcio equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1, with Inter Milan U23 applying more of the pressure.
62' — Inter Milan U23 went back in front: 2-1. After 76' the momentum swung to US Scafatese Calcio. Inter Milan U23 won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Inter Milan U23DrawUS Scafatese Calcio
Pre-match model estimate: Inter Milan U23 47%, draw 25%, US Scafatese Calcio 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Inter Milan U23US Scafatese Calcio
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min1286
Last 15 min1597
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Inter Milan U23 win in 47% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and US Scafatese Calcio win 28%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 54%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Inter Milan U23 – US Scafatese Calcio match report
The early pressure came from Inter Milan U23, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. Inter Milan U23 took the lead on 36 minutes. Just 3 minutes later (39') US Scafatese Calcio drew level at 1-1. Half-time: 1-1 between Inter Milan U23 and US Scafatese Calcio.
VAR awarded Inter Milan U23 a penalty in the 49th minute. Inter Milan U23 went 2-1 up on 62 minutes. US Scafatese Calcio took over after the 76th minute, pinning Inter Milan U23 back.
Match statistics
On target it was 2-3, from 5 and 5 attempts respectively. Inter Milan U23 won 3 corners, US Scafatese Calcio 5. US Scafatese Calcio produced 190 dangerous attacks to Inter Milan U23's 173.
What it means
Inter Milan U23 have now scored in 12 consecutive matches. Inter Milan U23 ended US Scafatese Calcio's unbeaten run of 9 matches.
What’s next
Next up for Inter Milan U23: away at Cosenza Calcio on Sunday 1 November. US Scafatese Calcio's next match is away to SSC Bari on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie C, Group B
