Perth Glory vs Adelaide United: the story of the match
17' — Perth Glory took the lead: 1-0. Tadiwanashe Kuzamba scored it. 21' — Perth Glory extended the lead: 2-0. 33' — Perth Glory extended the lead: 3-0. Stefan Colakovski scored it. Half time: 3-0.
85' — Perth Glory extended the lead: 4-0. Matthew Ellis scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Perth Glory won 4-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Perth GloryDrawAdelaide United
Pre-match model estimate: Perth Glory 37%, draw 24%, Adelaide United 39%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Perth Glory win in 37% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Adelaide United win 39%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 63%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Perth Glory took the lead in the 17th minute: Tadiwanashe Kuzamba. Just 4 minutes later (21') Perth Glory extended their lead to 2-0. Perth Glory extended their lead to 3-0 on 33 minutes thanks to Stefan Colakovski. Half-time: 3-0, Perth Glory in front.
Perth Glory had 13 shots (10 on target) to Adelaide United's 9 (4). Corners finished 4-6. Dangerous attacks: 62 for Adelaide United, 36 for Perth Glory.
The bigger picture
3 defeats in a row come to an end for Perth Glory.
A-League
