Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners, 01/11/2026 04:00
A-League
Match info
What channel is the match on?
United StatesESPN+
Broadcast info: broadcaster listings
Last 5 matches
More- Melbourne VictoryDLWDDScored in 9 matches in a row
- Central Coast MarinersLDLLLNo win in 8 matches
Recent meetings
More- A-LeagueMelbourne Victory4 - 1Central Coast Mariners
A-League
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Central Coast Mariners | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners meet on in A-League.
Venue: Melbourne Rectangular Stadium.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Melbourne Victory (70%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners: preview
Melbourne Victory have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Melbourne Victory have scored in 9 matches in a row. 3 of Melbourne Victory's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. Central Coast Mariners have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. Central Coast Mariners have not won in 8 matches. 6 of Central Coast Mariners's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6.
Melbourne Victory are in position 8 with 1 points, Central Coast Mariners in position 10 with 1 points. A win could lift Melbourne Victory as high as position 2. A win could lift Central Coast Mariners as high as position 2.
Our pre-match model estimate: Melbourne Victory 70%, draw 18%, Central Coast Mariners 12%.
Table by result
- A win can lift them as high as 2.
- A defeat can drop them as low as 10.
- A win can lift them as high as 2.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Melbourne Victory win in 70% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and Central Coast Mariners win 12%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 52%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
