28' — Padova took the lead: 1-0. An own goal by Stefano Di Mario. Half time: 1-0.
54' — Virtus Entella equalised: 1-1. Tommaso Annoni scored it. 84' — Virtus Entella completed the turnaround: 1-2. Bernat Guiu scored it. Virtus Entella won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
PadovaDrawVirtus Entella
Pre-match model estimate: Padova 40%, draw 32%, Virtus Entella 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Padova took the lead on 28 minutes thanks to an own goal from Stefano Di Mario. Half-time: 1-0, Padova in front.
Virtus Entella drew level at 1-1 on 54 minutes thanks to Tommaso Annoni. Virtus Entella completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 84 minutes thanks to Bernat Guiu.
The statistics
Padova won 4 corners, Virtus Entella 6.
What the result means
Virtus Entella end a run of 3 matches without a win.
Next fixtures
Next up for Padova: home to Empoli FC on Saturday 7 November. Virtus Entella's next match is at home against FC Modena on 8 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.